In order to find out the frequency of the gold, silver, and bronze prizes
during the
Medley Festival events,
I kept track of all the prizes I got after each of my medleys.
For the data below, I didn't use any money for the "better prize" effect.
The numbers are from my three games (2 iPhone and 1 Android),
plus some contributions from friends.
At the time of event 46, my rank was around 220 (iPhone), 205 (Android),
and 150 (iPhone).
The following are the data for events
43, 46, 49, 52, 55, 58, 61, 64, 68, 72.
The table below shows the number of gold, silver, and bronze prizes
that I got for each type of medley.
event 43
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
0
17
0%
0%
100%
expert 2 song
7
41
128
4%
23%
73%
expert 3 song
0
19
31
0%
38%
62%
hard 1 song
0
0
8
0%
0%
100%
hard 2 song
0
0
4
0%
0%
100%
hard 3 song
1
4
21
4%
15%
81%
event 46
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
4
31
0%
11%
89%
expert 2 song
10
56
215
4%
20%
76%
expert 3 song
6
49
77
5%
37%
58%
hard 1 song
0
1
45
0%
2%
98%
hard 2 song
0
0
7
0%
0%
100%
hard 3 song
0
16
118
0%
12%
88%
event 49
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
1
0
20
5%
0%
95%
expert 2 song
6
79
231
2%
25%
73%
expert 3 song
1
62
83
1%
42%
57%
hard 1 song
0
0
32
0%
0%
100%
hard 2 song
1
2
38
2%
5%
93%
hard 3 song
6
32
230
2%
12%
86%
event 52
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
2
12
0%
14%
86%
expert 2 song
4
68
203
1%
25%
73%
expert 3 song
2
23
35
3%
38%
58%
hard 1 song
1
0
30
3%
0%
97%
hard 2 song
0
6
33
0%
15%
85%
hard 3 song
6
47
364
1%
11%
87%
event 55
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
1
45
0%
2%
98%
expert 2 song
3
47
154
1%
23%
75%
expert 3 song
1
75
83
1%
47%
52%
hard 1 song
0
0
32
0%
0%
100%
hard 2 song
0
6
44
0%
12%
88%
hard 3 song
3
29
318
1%
8%
91%
event 58
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
2
12
0%
4%
96%
expert 2 song
4
68
203
1%
21%
79%
expert 3 song
2
23
35
2%
40%
58%
hard 1 song
1
0
30
0%
0%
100%
hard 2 song
0
6
33
0%
0%
100%
hard 3 song
6
47
364
2%
13%
85%
event 61
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
2
12
0%
0%
100%
expert 2 song
4
68
203
2%
26%
73%
expert 3 song
2
23
35
3%
36%
60%
hard 1 song
1
0
30
0%
0%
100%
hard 2 song
0
6
33
0%
18%
82%
hard 3 song
6
47
364
1%
15%
84%
event 64
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
2
6
0%
25%
75%
expert 2 song
2
28
105
1%
21%
78%
expert 3 song
13
130
195
4%
38%
58%
hard 1 song
0
1
2
0%
33%
67%
hard 2 song
0
1
8
0%
11%
89%
hard 3 song
0
12
73
0%
14%
86%
event 68
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
0
5
0%
0%
100%
expert 2 song
7
41
115
4%
25%
71%
expert 3 song
2
71
119
1%
37%
62%
hard 1 song
0
0
3
0%
0%
100%
hard 2 song
0
0
0
0%
0%
0%
hard 3 song
1
2
8
9%
18%
73%
event 72
medley
gold
silver
bronze
gold
silver
bronze
expert 1 song
0
0
19
0%
0%
100%
expert 2 song
0
36
106
0%
25%
75%
expert 3 song
11
105
139
4%
41%
55%
hard 1 song
0
0
0
0%
0%
0%
hard 2 song
0
0
6
0%
0%
100%
hard 3 song
0
2
10
0%
17%
83%
It looks like the probabilities of silver prizes are much higher
for expert medleys than hard medleys.
The gold prizes are too rare, so it's hard to tell if the harder
medleys have a higher percentage or not.
For hard medleys, you need a three song medley and the chances are still
only around 12% of getting a silver prize.
For expert medleys, a two song medley would have around 25%,
and a three song medley would have around 40% chance of getting
a silver or gold prize.
Since you get two or three prizes per medley, just about every
expert 3 song medley would produce one silver or gold prize.
The following table shows the total number of gold, silver, and bronze prizes
that I got for each type of medley.